BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Air Force
Class: 1 Class Rank: 143 Conference: Mountain West Record: (5-13) Overall: (14-17) Overall Strength = 24.07
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Away L 14.55 58 62 1 285 ( 11- 20) Bowling Green -9.52 5.52
2 11-11-2022 Home W 19.05 75 71 1 230 ( 17- 15) Delaware -5.02 9.02
3 11-14-2022 Home L 6.28 69 73 1 1 311 ( 13- 19) TX A&M Commerce -17.79 13.79
4 11-17-2022 Home L 7.18 51 64 1 153 ( 14- 19) Portland -16.89 3.89
5 11-21-2022 Home W 40.20 83 56 1 263 ( 16- 15) SC Upstate 16.13 10.87
6 11-23-2022 Home W 16.06 64 51 1 355 ( 5- 27) MS Valley St -8.01 21.01
7 11-27-2022 Home W 22.95 59 56 1 157 ( 16- 13) Montana -1.12 4.12
8 11-30-2022 Home W 35.66 81 53 1 326 ( 10- 21) Ark Pine Bluff 11.58 16.42
9 12-03-2022 Away L 17.79 64 68 1 231 ( 12- 19) Portland St -6.28 2.28
10 12-06-2022 Home W 31.97 79 58 1 300 ( 12- 18) South Dakota 7.90 13.10
11 12-09-2022 Home W 36.89 80 55 1 281 ( 13- 20) Arkansas St 12.82 12.18
12 12-18-2022 Home W 34.75 81 67 1 155 ( 15- 15) Tarleton St 10.68 3.32
13 12-20-2022 Away W 24.26 67 65 1 222 ( 12- 19) N Colorado 0.19 1.81
14 12-28-2022 Away L * 23.35 55 71 1 20 ( 24- 6) San Diego St -0.72 -15.28
15 12-31-2022 Home L * 23.71 69 75 1 50 ( 22- 9) Nevada -0.36 -5.64
16 01-03-2023 Home L * 20.43 65 77 1 24 ( 24- 7) Utah St -3.64 -8.36
17 01-10-2023 Away W * 41.70 85 74 1 1 103 ( 14- 17) Colorado St 17.62 -6.62
18 01-14-2023 Away W * 31.21 51 48 1 130 ( 11- 19) Fresno St 7.14 -4.14
19 01-17-2023 Home W * 28.88 82 74 1 137 ( 9- 21) Wyoming 4.81 3.19
20 01-21-2023 Home L * 22.60 60 70 1 20 ( 24- 6) San Diego St -1.47 -8.53
21 01-24-2023 Away L * 0.36 52 82 1 101 ( 19- 12) San Jose St -23.71 -6.29
22 01-27-2023 Away L * 28.69 73 81 1 49 ( 21- 10) New Mexico 4.62 -12.62
23 01-31-2023 Home L * 23.80 52 59 1 35 ( 23- 8) Boise St -0.27 -6.73
24 02-03-2023 Away L * 16.46 52 72 1 50 ( 22- 9) Nevada -7.61 -12.39
25 02-07-2023 Home L * 7.95 53 69 1 103 ( 14- 17) Colorado St -16.13 0.13
26 02-10-2023 Home W * 41.94 89 77 1 49 ( 21- 10) New Mexico 17.87 -5.87
27 02-14-2023 Away L * 24.19 65 80 1 24 ( 24- 7) Utah St 0.11 -15.11
28 02-17-2023 Away W * 33.63 75 69 1 137 ( 9- 21) Wyoming 9.56 -3.56
29 02-21-2023 Home L * 16.46 69 74 1 130 ( 11- 19) Fresno St -7.61 2.61
30 02-24-2023 Away L * 31.67 53 54 1 90 ( 18- 12) UNLV 7.60 -8.60
31 03-04-2023 Home L * 21.61 61 63 1 101 ( 19- 12) San Jose St -2.46 0.46
Averages 24.07 66.8 66.7
Best game: 41.94 = 12 point win over New Mexico
Worst game: 0.36 = 30 point loss to San Jose St
Team stdev: 10.63